A good explanation for the late 2010s college/high-school flip in consumer sentiment is Trump, right? Partisanship came to dominate perceptions of the economy. I can't think of anything else so period-specific.
Hi Chalem! Great to hear from you. Trump's surely the load bearing wall for the totality of this trend. I might be looking at the data strangely, but I see the HS / college convergence start in 2014 and maintain a steady convergence through the election, and the stalling out of college+ sentiment begins in early 2015, giving about 20-ish months or so of stalled out economic sentiment.
I'm guessing that a lot of the forward stalling / convergence is Trump driven, but it's predated a tad by something. Could be an artifact of the data (sampling method changed, or education measurement changed?) - I'm going to poke around a few other datasets to see if this pre-Trump table setting holds up or not.
A good explanation for the late 2010s college/high-school flip in consumer sentiment is Trump, right? Partisanship came to dominate perceptions of the economy. I can't think of anything else so period-specific.
Hi Chalem! Great to hear from you. Trump's surely the load bearing wall for the totality of this trend. I might be looking at the data strangely, but I see the HS / college convergence start in 2014 and maintain a steady convergence through the election, and the stalling out of college+ sentiment begins in early 2015, giving about 20-ish months or so of stalled out economic sentiment.
I'm guessing that a lot of the forward stalling / convergence is Trump driven, but it's predated a tad by something. Could be an artifact of the data (sampling method changed, or education measurement changed?) - I'm going to poke around a few other datasets to see if this pre-Trump table setting holds up or not.
Hope you're doing well these days.